Savona vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Savona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
USA
2 - 0
SAV
62%
22%
16%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SAV
1 - 1
REN
55%
24%
21%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
SAV
3 - 1
USP
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
RIM
2 - 2
SAV
67%
20%
13%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SAV
1 - 0
MAN
25%
26%
50%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 0
CAS
63%
22%
15%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 2
BOR
55%
24%
21%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
TRE
0 - 0
CAS
65%
21%
15%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CAS
3 - 2
ACM
61%
23%
16%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
REN
0 - 0
CAS
44%
26%
31%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |