Savona vs Borgo a Buggiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
19.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Savona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
SAV
1 - 1
USA
25%
27%
48%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAV
53%
24%
23%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SAV
1 - 2
PRO
43%
26%
31%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
SAV
3 - 0
VIN
69%
20%
11%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
CAS
1 - 0
SAV
47%
26%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Borgo a Buggiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
BOR
1 - 0
USP
45%
25%
30%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
BOR
0 - 0
ACS
46%
25%
29%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
BOR
61%
21%
19%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
BOR
2 - 0
ACG
42%
26%
32%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
VAL
3 - 2
BOR
27%
26%
47%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |