Savona vs AC Giacomense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Savona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 0
SAV
18%
25%
58%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
SAV
1 - 1
TRE
21%
26%
53%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ACM
1 - 1
SAV
40%
27%
34%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SAV
0 - 1
CUN
37%
26%
38%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
LEC
1 - 4
SAV
33%
27%
40%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
AC Giacomense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ACG
2 - 2
ACM
46%
26%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
CUN
2 - 1
ACG
62%
22%
16%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ACG
2 - 2
MAN
16%
24%
61%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
USP
1 - 1
ACG
41%
27%
32%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ACG
0 - 0
RIM
15%
23%
62%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | +2 |