Savigneux vs Villefranche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
67%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villefranche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 2
VIL
66%
21%
14%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
VIL
4 - 1
BEL
56%
24%
20%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
LYO
0 - 1
VIL
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
VIL
3 - 0
SAR
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
YZE
2 - 0
VIL
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |