Saumur vs Voltigeurs Châteaubriant analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
4º
14º
14º
16
7º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
33 | 65 |
1º
|
87.5% | |
|
1º
|
34 | 57 |
2º
|
60% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 53 |
3º
|
38% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 48 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 46 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 45 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 41 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 39 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 38 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 36 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 34 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 33 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 32 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
14 | 32 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 31 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 19 |
16º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
46.5% | 44.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11% | 16% |
|
Relegation
|
42.5% | 39.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saumur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
PAB
1 - 3
SAU
12%
15%
73%
|
49 | 8 | 41 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SAU
1 - 2
GIR
10%
19%
72%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BOU
0 - 1
SAU
43%
24%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SAU
1 - 1
DIN
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
POI
1 - 2
SAU
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Voltigeurs Châteaubriant
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 0
VOL
12%
20%
69%
|
50 | 22 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
VOL
1 - 2
LES
33%
27%
40%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
GIR
2 - 2
VOL
78%
16%
6%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
VOL
0 - 1
LRO
48%
28%
25%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BOU
2 - 3
VOL
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |