Saumur vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
1%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.4%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.5%
83.5%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
17.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.8%
0-3
14.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
18.4%
0-4
9.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
10.9%
0-5
4.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saumur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
SAU
3 - 3
MON
55%
23%
22%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
GUI
0 - 1
SAU
17%
19%
64%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
SAB
1 - 4
SAU
48%
23%
30%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
SAU
0 - 0
FON
46%
24%
30%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
SAU
1 - 1
ASC
71%
17%
13%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
TFC
4 - 1
ASN
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
NIO
1 - 0
TFC
18%
25%
58%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
TFC
4 - 0
CHA
74%
18%
9%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
AUB
0 - 2
TFC
7%
15%
78%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
VAL
1 - 0
TFC
29%
26%
44%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |