Saumur vs Thouars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saumur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
CHO
0 - 0
SAU
19%
22%
59%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
SAU
1 - 1
TOU
35%
26%
39%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
SAU
1 - 0
MAL
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
AUX
1 - 4
SAU
40%
25%
35%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
SAU
3 - 0
COG
50%
25%
26%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Thouars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
THO
2 - 2
STP
29%
25%
46%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
CHA
0 - 3
THO
40%
25%
35%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
THO
2 - 1
CHO
58%
23%
19%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
THO
1 - 2
LPS
32%
27%
41%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
ARM
2 - 1
THO
53%
24%
23%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |