Saumur vs La Roche VF analysis

Saumur La Roche VF
35 ELO 42
-3.7% Tilt -5.9%
5425º General ELO ranking 4790º
110º Country ELO ranking 93º
ELO win probability
38.2%
Saumur
27.1%
Draw
34.7%
La Roche VF

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
Saumur
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34.7%
Win probability
La Roche VF
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Saumur
+60%
+39%
La Roche VF

Points and table prediction

Saumur
Their league position
La Roche VF
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
13º
10º
48
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
La Roche VF
48
48
0%
Paris 13 Atletico
48
48
0%
FC Libourne
40
40
0%
Bergerac
37
40
0%
Saint-Pryve
38
38
100%
Les Herbiers
37
37
0%
Blois
37
37
0%
Angouleme
37
37
0%
Bourges Foot 18
37
37
0%
Saumur
10º
34
34
10º
100%
Romorantin
11º
33
33
11º
100%
Avoine OCC
12º
26
26
12º
100%
Trelissac
13º
21
21
13º
100%
Angers SCO II
14º
13
13
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Saumur
La Roche VF
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Saumur
La Roche VF
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Saumur
Saumur
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Feb. 2024
AVO
Avoine OCC
1 - 1
Saumur
SAU
42%
24%
34%
36 37 1 0
20 Jan. 2024
SAU
Saumur
2 - 3
Saint-Pryve
STP
29%
27%
44%
37 45 8 -1
13 Jan. 2024
ANG
Angers SCO II
1 - 1
Saumur
SAU
31%
24%
45%
37 33 4 0
16 Dec. 2023
LES
Les Herbiers
2 - 0
Saumur
SAU
77%
15%
8%
38 51 13 -1
02 Dec. 2023
SAU
Saumur
0 - 2
Bourges Foot 18
BOU
43%
25%
33%
39 39 0 -1

Matches

La Roche VF
La Roche VF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Feb. 2024
STP
Saint-Pryve
0 - 0
La Roche VF
LRO
55%
25%
20%
41 45 4 0
20 Jan. 2024
LRO
La Roche VF
5 - 0
Angers SCO II
ANG
63%
20%
17%
39 33 6 +2
13 Jan. 2024
TRE
Trelissac
1 - 1
La Roche VF
LRO
55%
26%
20%
39 46 7 0
15 Dec. 2023
LRO
La Roche VF
1 - 2
Angouleme
ANG
37%
27%
36%
40 44 4 -1
02 Dec. 2023
BLO
Blois
0 - 0
La Roche VF
LRO
61%
21%
18%
39 43 4 +1
X