Saumur vs La Roche VF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
58.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+156%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saumur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
CHA
4 - 1
SAU
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
SAU
0 - 2
CAE
23%
24%
54%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
ROM
0 - 0
SAU
75%
17%
8%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
SAU
1 - 3
FON
23%
25%
52%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
PLA
3 - 1
SAU
70%
19%
12%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
La Roche VF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
LRO
1 - 0
POI
63%
22%
16%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2003 |
LRO
0 - 1
SÈT
29%
26%
45%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -13 |
| 16 May. 2003 |
ANG
2 - 1
LRO
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2003 |
LRO
0 - 1
FCR
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
BEA
0 - 3
LRO
30%
26%
44%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |