Saumur vs Le Mans II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
34.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saumur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
SAU
0 - 3
VCH
47%
26%
28%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 3
SAU
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
SAU
2 - 1
PLA
26%
27%
47%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
LOR
3 - 2
SAU
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
SAU
1 - 2
CON
57%
25%
18%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Le Mans II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LEM
1 - 1
CON
60%
23%
16%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
AVR
3 - 1
LEM
44%
27%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
LEM
1 - 0
LAV
53%
25%
22%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
PON
1 - 2
LEM
43%
26%
31%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
LEM
2 - 1
LES
39%
27%
34%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |