Saumur vs Luçon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
61.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saumur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
SAU
0 - 2
ROM
22%
23%
54%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
LES
1 - 0
SAU
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
SAU
0 - 2
LEH
42%
25%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
AVR
2 - 1
SAU
58%
23%
20%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
SAU
1 - 3
TRE
30%
26%
44%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Luçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
LUC
4 - 1
STA
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
SAI
3 - 1
LUC
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
LUC
0 - 0
CAE
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
LUC
3 - 1
VCH
74%
16%
10%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
LUC
2 - 4
FON
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |