Saumur vs FC Libourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
8º
13º
10º
40
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 40 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saumur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
TOU
4 - 3
SAU
70%
17%
12%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
SAU
1 - 1
CHO
13%
19%
68%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SAU
0 - 1
ANG
38%
27%
35%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
ANG
0 - 0
SAU
43%
26%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SAU
3 - 0
STA
48%
25%
28%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
FC Libourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
FCL
0 - 1
CHA
74%
16%
10%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
LES
3 - 1
FCL
33%
28%
39%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
FCL
2 - 0
MON
86%
10%
4%
|
40 | 14 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
CNF
0 - 4
FCL
16%
20%
65%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FCL
5 - 0
GUE
85%
11%
5%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |