Saumur vs Granville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
33.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
4º
14º
14º
15
9º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
33 | 65 |
1º
|
87.5% | |
|
1º
|
34 | 57 |
2º
|
60% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 53 |
3º
|
38% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 48 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 46 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 45 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 41 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 39 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 38 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 36 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 34 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
|
13º
|
15 | 33 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 32 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
14 | 32 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 31 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 19 |
16º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
46.5% | 50.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11% | 16.5% |
|
Relegation
|
42.5% | 33% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saumur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
FCL
2 - 5
SAU
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SAU
2 - 1
ANG
70%
19%
11%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
SAU
2 - 2
LES
28%
26%
47%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BOU
2 - 3
SAU
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SAU
2 - 1
BER
22%
25%
54%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Granville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
SAI
1 - 1
GRA
58%
22%
21%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
GRA
3 - 0
CHA
29%
26%
46%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
AUB
2 - 0
GRA
28%
26%
46%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
GRA
0 - 3
STA
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LOR
3 - 2
GRA
34%
27%
39%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |