Saumur vs Fontenay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
51.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saumur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
PLA
3 - 1
SAU
70%
19%
12%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
SAU
2 - 4
GDB
25%
27%
48%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
PON
1 - 0
SAU
67%
20%
13%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
SAU
2 - 3
LOR
28%
25%
48%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
LEM
1 - 0
SAU
64%
20%
16%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fontenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
FON
0 - 1
STA
48%
26%
27%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
SAI
0 - 0
FON
54%
25%
21%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
FON
1 - 1
CAE
45%
26%
29%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ROM
0 - 0
FON
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
TRE
2 - 0
FON
59%
23%
19%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |