Saumur vs Cholet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
59.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saumur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
TOU
1 - 0
SAU
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SAU
0 - 1
LRO
20%
22%
58%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
CHA
4 - 1
SAU
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
SAU
0 - 2
CAE
23%
24%
54%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
ROM
0 - 0
SAU
75%
17%
8%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Cholet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
CHO
1 - 0
POI
68%
20%
12%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
CHA
3 - 0
CHO
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -3 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
CHO
3 - 2
STP
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
CHO
4 - 0
LIM
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
ANG
3 - 3
CHO
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |