Saumur vs Blois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
35.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
4º
15º
15º
22
2º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 65 |
1º
|
90% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 55 |
2º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 51 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 49 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 49 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 45 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 42 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 40 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 39 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 33 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 33 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 32 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 32 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
|
14º
|
15 | 31 |
15º
|
22.5% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 21 |
16º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
33.5% | 93% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
19.5% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation
|
47% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saumur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
AVR
3 - 2
SAU
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
LAS
1 - 3
SAU
9%
15%
77%
|
49 | 19 | 30 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SAU
2 - 2
VOL
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
PAB
1 - 3
SAU
12%
15%
73%
|
49 | 8 | 41 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SAU
1 - 2
GIR
10%
19%
72%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Blois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
BLO
1 - 1
GIR
10%
18%
72%
|
49 | 74 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
BLO
1 - 1
VIE
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
BOU
3 - 1
BLO
33%
24%
43%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CSL
2 - 4
BLO
9%
16%
76%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BLO
0 - 1
DIN
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |