Saumur vs Andrézieux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
57.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
10º
8º
37
1º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
63% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
70.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 42 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
10º
|
27% | |
|
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
11º
|
81.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 37 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
91.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
86.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
86.5% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 81.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 18.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saumur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
LOR
1 - 1
SAU
60%
23%
17%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SAU
1 - 0
NAN
49%
25%
26%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ANG
3 - 4
SAU
54%
24%
22%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SAU
3 - 0
ASS
87%
9%
4%
|
38 | 14 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 2
SAU
20%
22%
57%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Andrézieux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
AND
1 - 0
TRE
64%
22%
15%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ROM
0 - 2
AND
29%
25%
46%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
AND
0 - 0
BOU
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
LPV
1 - 2
AND
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
ANG
2 - 4
AND
21%
25%
53%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |