FC Saturn vs Irkutsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
21%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
+78%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
4º
16º
4º
42
4º
16º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 65 |
1º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 62 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 54 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 53 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 53 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 51 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 49 |
7º
|
26.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 46 |
8º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 44 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
10º
|
46.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 36 |
11º
|
50.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 30 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 29 |
13º
|
51.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 26 |
14º
|
76% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 15 |
15º
|
81% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 12 |
16º
|
83% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Saturn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
SAT
4 - 3
SPA
15%
20%
65%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
SAT
5 - 1
ZSP
73%
15%
12%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
ROM
2 - 5
SAT
37%
26%
38%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
SAT
2 - 0
LUK
66%
18%
16%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
FBK
2 - 1
SAT
42%
25%
32%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Irkutsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FKI
4 - 1
TVE
61%
19%
20%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
FKI
3 - 1
ZEN
36%
25%
40%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +3 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
ZSP
1 - 1
FKI
35%
22%
44%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
FKI
1 - 0
ROM
41%
24%
35%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
LUK
0 - 0
FKI
37%
23%
40%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |