Saturn Moskva vs Zenit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
50.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saturn Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
KRS
0 - 2
SAT
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
SAT
4 - 0
FCR
48%
29%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2009 |
VLA
3 - 0
SAT
26%
28%
46%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2009 |
KHI
1 - 0
SAT
42%
29%
29%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
SAT
2 - 0
LOK
33%
29%
39%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Zenit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
ZEN
0 - 0
FCR
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
TER
3 - 2
ZEN
20%
25%
56%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2009 |
TOR
0 - 2
ZEN
9%
19%
72%
|
85 | 52 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
ZEN
1 - 0
FKM
63%
22%
16%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
NAL
2 - 2
ZEN
18%
25%
57%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |