Saturn Moskva vs Chernomorets Novorossisk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
33.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saturn Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 1999 |
SAT
2 - 2
TOR
27%
29%
44%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1999 |
FCR
4 - 1
SAT
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 1999 |
SAT
1 - 0
ROT
19%
23%
58%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 1999 |
CSK
1 - 0
SAT
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1999 |
SAT
0 - 3
SPA
16%
23%
61%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 1999 |
CHE
0 - 1
LNN
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1999 |
CHE
0 - 0
ELI
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1999 |
TOR
3 - 1
CHE
55%
25%
21%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1999 |
CHE
1 - 0
ALA
36%
25%
39%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1999 |
FCR
1 - 0
CHE
61%
21%
17%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |