Sassari Torres vs Città di Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+121%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sassari Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAS
46%
25%
29%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
NFR
6 - 1
SAS
73%
15%
12%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ARZ
6 - 1
SAS
53%
25%
22%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SAS
1 - 3
FOL
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
OST
7 - 0
SAS
48%
25%
26%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SSD
1 - 1
FOL
26%
24%
50%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
LAN
3 - 0
SSD
42%
24%
35%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SSD
0 - 1
ARZ
29%
26%
45%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
RIE
3 - 1
SSD
73%
17%
10%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SSD
0 - 0
OST
29%
26%
46%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |