Sassari Torres vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sassari Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
SSS
2 - 2
SAS
54%
26%
21%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
SAS
2 - 0
VIT
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
SAS
6 - 1
LAQ
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
CRO
1 - 1
SAS
69%
19%
13%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
SAS
0 - 1
PAT
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
FER
1 - 1
GIU
42%
27%
31%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
VIR
1 - 1
FER
55%
25%
21%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
PES
3 - 1
FER
68%
20%
12%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
FER
0 - 2
TER
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
AVE
2 - 1
FER
58%
24%
17%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |