Sasco II vs Mark Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
74.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sasco II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2013 |
SAS
2 - 0
FPT
14%
20%
66%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
ABU
3 - 1
SAS
84%
11%
5%
|
10 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2013 |
SAS
0 - 3
RUS
10%
17%
74%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
FGT
2 - 1
SAS
85%
10%
5%
|
11 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
SAS
1 - 4
IVE
11%
18%
71%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Mark Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
12 - 1
RUS
75%
16%
10%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 2
ACH
68%
18%
14%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
BOR
1 - 0
MAR
53%
22%
25%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
10 - 1
SOK
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
IBE
0 - 7
MAR
18%
23%
59%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | +1 |