Sasa vs Vardarski analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
6.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
5º
13º
6º
2
10º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 69 |
1º
|
76.5% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 63 |
2º
|
48% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 59 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 56 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 50 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 47 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 45 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 43 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 42 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 41 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 36 |
11º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 32 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 29 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 23 |
14º
|
46% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 17 |
15º
|
46.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
2 | 14 |
16º
|
63.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 3% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 8% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 89% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 1
SAS
36%
25%
39%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 1
SAS
35%
24%
41%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
SAS
4 - 1
POB
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
BAS
2 - 1
SAS
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SAS
1 - 2
OHR
46%
26%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Vardarski
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 2
NOV
13%
17%
71%
|
11 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
POB
6 - 2
VAR
83%
11%
6%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 3
BAS
19%
24%
57%
|
13 | 49 | 36 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
OHR
3 - 0
VAR
80%
13%
8%
|
13 | 42 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 1
BEL
12%
16%
72%
|
13 | 42 | 29 | 0 |