Épinal vs Moulins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 1
SPI
22%
24%
55%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
SPI
2 - 1
BEL
74%
17%
9%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
VES
1 - 2
SPI
13%
20%
67%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
SPI
3 - 0
FCM
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
MOA
2 - 3
SPI
26%
25%
50%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Moulins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
MOU
5 - 3
SAR
63%
20%
17%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
MOU
3 - 0
VIL
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
BEL
1 - 0
MOU
21%
26%
53%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
MOU
2 - 0
VES
74%
16%
9%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
FCM
3 - 1
MOU
27%
28%
45%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -2 |