Épinal vs Lille II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
FCM
0 - 3
SPI
21%
25%
54%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
SPI
1 - 2
ASS
6%
14%
79%
|
48 | 77 | 29 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
SPI
1 - 1
REI
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
SPI
0 - 2
BOB
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
SPI
2 - 1
LIL
7%
16%
77%
|
47 | 82 | 35 | +2 |
Matches
Lille II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
LIL
1 - 1
SML
42%
26%
33%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
STG
2 - 0
LIL
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
LIL
0 - 2
BAS
19%
25%
56%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
BEL
0 - 0
LIL
31%
26%
42%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
LIL
2 - 2
FCS
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |