Épinal vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
66.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
17.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1998 |
SPI
2 - 0
STM
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1998 |
SDL
1 - 2
SPI
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1998 |
SPI
2 - 1
STR
8%
18%
75%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1998 |
SPI
0 - 2
TFC
15%
26%
60%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1998 |
SPI
0 - 1
SED
27%
29%
44%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1998 |
LEN
3 - 0
LYO
43%
26%
31%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1998 |
LEN
1 - 0
NIO
78%
15%
7%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1998 |
TFC
1 - 2
LEN
32%
28%
40%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1998 |
LEN
1 - 0
GUI
58%
23%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1998 |
LEN
2 - 1
LHA
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |