Épinal vs Furiani Agliani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
24.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
3º
10º
9º
19
7º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 63 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 62 |
2º
|
45.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 50 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 48 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 47 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 45 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 44 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 43 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 42 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 39 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 37 |
11º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 32 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 30 |
13º
|
30.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 27 |
14º
|
29.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 23 |
15º
|
31% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 22 |
16º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 93.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 6% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
USB
0 - 4
SPI
7%
12%
81%
|
55 | 8 | 47 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
AUB
1 - 2
SPI
21%
25%
54%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SPI
2 - 4
BIE
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SPI
1 - 1
FCS
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BOB
2 - 1
SPI
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Furiani Agliani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BOB
1 - 1
FUR
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
FUR
1 - 0
FEI
57%
25%
18%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
FLE
1 - 1
FUR
55%
26%
19%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
FUR
2 - 0
ASB
47%
28%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BAL
4 - 0
FUR
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |