Épinal vs Dunkerque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1996 |
PER
1 - 0
SPI
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1996 |
SPI
0 - 0
VAL
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1996 |
SPI
0 - 0
AMI
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1996 |
CSL
2 - 2
SPI
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1996 |
SPI
5 - 1
ANG
63%
22%
16%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Dunkerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1996 |
DUN
0 - 0
LMU
35%
30%
35%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1996 |
SOC
2 - 0
DUN
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1996 |
DUN
0 - 0
CHA
44%
29%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1996 |
VAL
1 - 0
DUN
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1996 |
DUN
0 - 1
NIO
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |