Sarti vs Shavnabada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.7%
7.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2016 |
SOK
7 - 3
SAR
15%
17%
68%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2016 |
SAR
2 - 2
APK
81%
11%
8%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
RUS
7 - 0
SAR
71%
17%
11%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SAR
2 - 6
KOJ
63%
19%
18%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 6
FKM
19%
21%
60%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Shavnabada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2016 |
SHA
1 - 10
FKM
11%
17%
72%
|
23 | 64 | 41 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2016 |
KOL
3 - 0
SHA
81%
11%
9%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
SHA
1 - 8
GAR
8%
14%
78%
|
23 | 55 | 32 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
AMI
2 - 4
SHA
85%
9%
6%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
SHA
1 - 3
GAR
9%
15%
76%
|
22 | 52 | 30 | 0 |