Sarti vs Mziuri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
55.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2014 |
GAR
2 - 0
SAR
48%
24%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
SAR
3 - 1
AMI
28%
25%
47%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
WIT
2 - 1
SAR
63%
21%
17%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
SAR
4 - 2
GAR
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
NOR
0 - 2
SAR
69%
18%
13%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Mziuri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
MZI
3 - 1
GAR
72%
17%
11%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2014 |
AMI
2 - 9
MZI
36%
28%
37%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
MZI
0 - 2
WIT
66%
21%
14%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
GAR
3 - 1
MZI
20%
23%
57%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
MZI
4 - 2
NOR
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | -1 |