Sarreguemines vs Metz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
44.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarreguemines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
FCS
1 - 2
SAR
60%
20%
20%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 2
RAO
23%
20%
57%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
NAN
1 - 3
SAR
67%
17%
16%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
SAR
2 - 0
SCH
54%
21%
26%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
REI
4 - 0
SAR
62%
19%
19%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
MET
6 - 2
THA
81%
13%
6%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
PAG
0 - 3
MET
32%
22%
46%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
MET
3 - 1
BIE
70%
17%
13%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ILL
2 - 1
MET
27%
23%
49%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
MET
0 - 3
STR
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |