Sarre-Union vs RC Épernay Champagne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
10º
6º
24
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
90% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
90% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
85% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarre-Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
JAR
3 - 3
SAR
8%
13%
79%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 0
MEZ
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
STR
4 - 1
SAR
30%
25%
46%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -3 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ILL
2 - 3
SAR
11%
15%
74%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
THA
0 - 3
SAR
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
RC Épernay Champagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
RCE
0 - 1
THA
19%
22%
59%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
RCE
5 - 1
JAR
62%
19%
18%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MEZ
2 - 1
RCE
62%
22%
16%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BIE
1 - 1
RCE
75%
16%
9%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
RCE
0 - 0
ILL
57%
21%
22%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |