Sarre-Union vs Raon-l'Etape analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
29%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
12º
7º
32
9º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 26.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 73.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarre-Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MET
0 - 1
SAR
57%
20%
23%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 2
BEL
40%
24%
37%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
TRO
1 - 1
SAR
51%
21%
28%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 1
MEZ
57%
22%
22%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 1
THL
58%
20%
22%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Raon-l'Etape
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
RAO
2 - 2
MET
66%
17%
17%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
THL
4 - 2
RAO
47%
22%
32%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
OBE
0 - 1
RAO
30%
22%
48%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
RAO
1 - 3
REI
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
RAO
3 - 3
REI
46%
22%
32%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |