Sarre-Union vs Pagny Sur Moselle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
11.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarre-Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 1
STR
17%
24%
59%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
ILL
1 - 4
SAR
18%
21%
62%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
SAR
2 - 1
STR
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SAR
4 - 0
KST
81%
12%
7%
|
40 | 7 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
VAU
0 - 2
SAR
18%
19%
63%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Pagny Sur Moselle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
PAG
1 - 0
FOR
57%
21%
23%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
FCS
2 - 0
PAG
49%
23%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
PAG
3 - 0
LUN
37%
22%
41%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +3 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
BIE
3 - 5
PAG
55%
22%
24%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
PAG
2 - 3
NAN
32%
23%
46%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |