Sarre-Union vs Metz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
39.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
4º
14º
5º
5
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
4 | 53 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
5 | 46 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 40 |
3º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 39 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
|
12º
|
3 | 38 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 37 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 36 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 35 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 33 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 33 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 33 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 29 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 26 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 24 |
14º
|
25% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
4% | 17% |
|
Mid-table
|
67.5% | 77% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7.5% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
21% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarre-Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
JUR
1 - 1
SAR
37%
23%
40%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 2
BEL
47%
23%
30%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 4
STR
65%
19%
16%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MEZ
1 - 1
SAR
29%
23%
48%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 2
THA
33%
26%
41%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MET
3 - 3
OBE
76%
14%
10%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
PON
1 - 2
MET
38%
26%
37%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
MET
4 - 0
REI
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 1
MET
32%
27%
41%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MET
3 - 1
TRO
35%
26%
40%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |