Sarre-Union vs Metz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
32.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
12º
7º
32
6º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
73.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 73.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 26.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarre-Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BEL
2 - 2
SAR
47%
23%
31%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SAR
5 - 1
TRO
38%
24%
39%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
THL
5 - 2
SAR
6%
11%
83%
|
35 | 10 | 25 | -3 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 1
NAN
60%
20%
19%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
STR
2 - 2
SAR
36%
22%
42%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MET
4 - 0
MET
70%
16%
14%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
OBE
1 - 1
MET
11%
16%
72%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MET
1 - 1
REI
48%
23%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
RAO
2 - 2
MET
56%
21%
23%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
REI
1 - 0
MET
40%
22%
38%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |