Sarre-Union vs Illkirch Graffenstaden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.8%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.4%
3.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
10º
6º
10
13º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
90% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
90% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
85% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarre-Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 7
SAR
14%
17%
70%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SAR
3 - 0
NAN
47%
23%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SCH
5 - 1
SAR
21%
21%
58%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -3 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 2
RAO
42%
26%
32%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
TRO
1 - 1
SAR
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Illkirch Graffenstaden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
ILL
1 - 3
RCE
22%
22%
57%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
JAR
1 - 2
ILL
62%
19%
19%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ILL
0 - 4
MEZ
12%
18%
70%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
STR
5 - 0
ILL
86%
10%
4%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ILL
0 - 3
REI
15%
19%
67%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | -1 |