Sarre-Union vs Illkirch Graffenstaden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.8%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.4%
3.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
10º
6º
10
13º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
90% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
90% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
85% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarre-Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 7
SAR
14%
17%
70%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SAR
3 - 0
NAN
47%
23%
30%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SCH
5 - 1
SAR
21%
21%
58%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 2
RAO
42%
26%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
TRO
1 - 1
SAR
38%
25%
37%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Illkirch Graffenstaden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
ILL
1 - 3
RCE
22%
22%
57%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
JAR
1 - 2
ILL
62%
19%
19%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ILL
0 - 4
MEZ
12%
18%
70%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
STR
5 - 0
ILL
86%
10%
4%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ILL
0 - 3
REI
15%
19%
67%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | -1 |