Sarre-Union vs Forbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarre-Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SAR
1 - 2
SCH
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
FCS
2 - 1
SAR
28%
25%
47%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
SAR
0 - 2
BIE
81%
12%
7%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
MET
0 - 3
SAR
26%
22%
52%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
SAR
2 - 3
SAR
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Forbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 0
MEZ
33%
22%
45%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 2
LUN
33%
22%
45%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
SCH
3 - 0
FOR
74%
17%
10%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
FOR
0 - 4
MET
37%
24%
38%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
FOR
0 - 0
SAR
33%
25%
42%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |