Sarre-Union vs Métropole Troyenne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
12.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
12º
7º
12
13º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
73.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarre-Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
OBE
2 - 1
SAR
11%
15%
75%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 0
APM
76%
15%
10%
|
39 | 8 | 31 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
SAR
3 - 2
REI
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
RAO
0 - 2
SAR
46%
22%
33%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 1
MET
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Métropole Troyenne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
REI
2 - 0
MET
68%
17%
15%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
QNY
1 - 4
MET
11%
15%
74%
|
24 | 8 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
MET
1 - 0
OBE
59%
20%
22%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
REI
4 - 3
MET
82%
11%
8%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
MET
0 - 1
RAO
20%
19%
61%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |