Sarre-Union vs Creteil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
64.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarre-Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
MET
2 - 0
SAR
45%
23%
32%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
SAR
1 - 1
ILL
73%
15%
12%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
SAR
1 - 0
SAI
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
MET
0 - 1
SAR
19%
19%
61%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
SAR
1 - 2
STR
45%
24%
32%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
LUS
2 - 2
VIL
38%
28%
34%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
PAU
3 - 3
LUS
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
LUS
0 - 1
DUN
36%
28%
37%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
BOU
0 - 0
LUS
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
LUS
1 - 1
SPO
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |