Sarpsborg 08 vs SK Brann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
52.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
8º
16º
9º
37
2º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 64 |
1º
|
95.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 54 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 54 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 54 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 48 |
5º
|
44.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 45 |
6º
|
41.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 40 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 37 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
|
8º
|
26 | 37 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 36 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 35 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 33 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 32 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 31 |
14º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 30 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 29 |
16º
|
35% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 19% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 61% |
|
Mid-table
|
93.5% | 18.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
3.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarpsborg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
S08
4 - 1
RBK
33%
25%
42%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
HAU
1 - 2
S08
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
S08
1 - 2
BOG
20%
22%
58%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
S08
1 - 2
TRO
43%
24%
33%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
KRI
3 - 1
S08
32%
25%
43%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
SK Brann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
BBS
1 - 1
HAU
69%
19%
11%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
BOG
5 - 1
BBS
48%
22%
30%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
BBS
0 - 0
STR
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
BBS
5 - 0
KRI
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
HAM
1 - 2
BBS
17%
21%
62%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |