Sarpsborg 08 vs Rosenborg BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
42.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
8º
16º
8º
34
3º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 64 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 54 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 54 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 51 |
4º
|
39% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 48 |
5º
|
36.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 45 |
6º
|
39.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 41 |
7º
|
26% | |
|
|
8º
|
26 | 37 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 36 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 36 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 35 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 33 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 33 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 32 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 31 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 29 |
16º
|
30% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 3% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 28% |
|
Mid-table
|
92.5% | 69% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
4.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarpsborg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
HAU
1 - 2
S08
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
S08
1 - 2
BOG
20%
22%
58%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
S08
1 - 2
TRO
43%
24%
33%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
KRI
3 - 1
S08
32%
25%
43%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
S08
1 - 3
STR
47%
25%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Rosenborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
RBK
2 - 1
ODD
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
VKG
4 - 2
RBK
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
RBK
1 - 1
FFK
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
RBK
2 - 1
KRI
59%
22%
18%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
TRO
3 - 2
RBK
36%
25%
39%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |