Sarpsborg 08 vs Notodden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarpsborg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
RAN
1 - 2
S08
41%
25%
35%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
S08
2 - 2
HOD
60%
21%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
S08
6 - 0
ALT
80%
14%
7%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
BOG
2 - 3
S08
49%
24%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
S08
0 - 3
SDF
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Notodden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
NOT
2 - 2
BAR
55%
20%
25%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
STR
2 - 1
NOT
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
NOT
1 - 5
TRO
46%
23%
32%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
RAN
3 - 2
NOT
72%
18%
10%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
NOT
3 - 1
KON
27%
25%
48%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |