Sarpsborg 08 vs Moss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
10.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarpsborg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
S08
2 - 2
RAN
47%
24%
29%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
HSK
1 - 3
S08
8%
15%
77%
|
60 | 11 | 49 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
NOT
0 - 1
S08
47%
23%
29%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
S08
1 - 2
KON
42%
25%
33%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
SDF
1 - 2
S08
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2012 |
STA
2 - 1
MOS
28%
23%
49%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
MOS
2 - 0
ELV
44%
24%
33%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
MOS
3 - 1
SEN
57%
20%
23%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
NES
1 - 1
MOS
39%
23%
38%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
MOS
1 - 4
KVI
58%
21%
21%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |