Sarpsborg 08 vs Moss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarpsborg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
STR
2 - 1
S08
29%
24%
47%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2010 |
S08
1 - 1
BOG
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2010 |
NYB
2 - 3
S08
32%
25%
43%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2010 |
S08
2 - 2
HON
56%
21%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2010 |
MJO
3 - 1
S08
28%
25%
47%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2010 |
ALT
3 - 1
MOS
42%
23%
34%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2010 |
MOS
1 - 4
SOG
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2010 |
SDF
4 - 2
MOS
52%
23%
25%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
FOL
0 - 4
MOS
30%
25%
45%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
LOV
3 - 0
MOS
31%
25%
44%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |