Sarpsborg 08 II vs Ullern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
35%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
5º
12º
6º
32
6º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarpsborg 08 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
ASK
4 - 2
SAR
72%
16%
12%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 0
NOR
17%
21%
62%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +4 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
GOF
2 - 0
SAR
18%
18%
64%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -3 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 2
FRI
15%
19%
66%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
SAR
3 - 1
AIF
88%
8%
4%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Ullern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ULL
5 - 1
AFK
70%
16%
14%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
AIF
2 - 1
ULL
9%
15%
77%
|
36 | 14 | 22 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
ULL
4 - 1
MJO
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
SKE
2 - 3
ULL
22%
20%
58%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 2
ULL
68%
16%
15%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |