Sarpsborg 08 II vs Bærum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
68.7%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
5º
12º
6º
46
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarpsborg 08 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2024 |
ULL
2 - 0
SAR
70%
17%
14%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 3
ASK
23%
21%
56%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
OPP
4 - 3
SAR
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
AFK
2 - 4
SAR
37%
21%
42%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 0
IFL
46%
21%
34%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 3
FRI
48%
21%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
GOF
2 - 3
BAR
9%
13%
78%
|
42 | 13 | 29 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 5
STB
11%
17%
72%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BAR
5 - 3
AFK
86%
9%
5%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
MJO
2 - 5
BAR
16%
18%
66%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | +1 |