Sarnese vs Scordia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
7.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
GRA
0 - 0
SAR
39%
24%
37%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SAR
0 - 0
NFR
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
USV
1 - 1
SAR
32%
27%
42%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 0
SIR
17%
24%
59%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
5 - 0
SAR
23%
24%
54%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -3 |
Matches
Scordia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
SCO
1 - 4
RAA
20%
23%
57%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
DTO
1 - 0
SCO
67%
19%
14%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
SCO
0 - 2
GEL
36%
24%
40%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
NOT
3 - 0
SCO
56%
22%
22%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
SCO
1 - 1
REG
17%
20%
63%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |