Sarnese vs Potenza Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
59%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
ASD
2 - 0
SAR
68%
17%
15%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
SAR
1 - 1
SSM
49%
25%
26%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
TUR
3 - 3
SAR
61%
21%
17%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
SAR
1 - 1
GRA
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CAV
3 - 0
SAR
75%
16%
9%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Potenza Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
RPO
4 - 1
POM
65%
20%
14%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
RAA
0 - 0
RPO
18%
24%
58%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
RPO
3 - 0
AUD
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +3 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
NFR
2 - 3
RPO
46%
24%
30%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
RPO
2 - 1
ASD
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |